Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.860799 5.258177 5.697517 6.224394 6.846187 7.566083 8.477228
2025-02-09 4.385066 4.912508 5.536037 6.345005 7.395460 8.759668 10.756282
2025-02-16 4.002862 4.605399 5.356073 6.395910 7.866857 10.005343 13.684944
2025-02-23 3.665329 4.304931 5.135601 6.350735 8.205469 11.213868 17.410997
2025-03-02 3.316050 3.948265 4.792668 6.075958 8.147728 11.814465 20.716732
2025-03-09 3.083080 3.720821 4.596889 5.981996 8.358356 13.014824 27.146965
2025-03-16 2.835358 3.450375 4.310118 5.704135 8.194279 13.439408 32.617759
2025-03-23 2.703462 3.328792 4.225107 5.733287 8.598786 15.396660 51.855741
2025-03-30 2.566230 3.187827 4.095884 5.668594 8.810574 17.094303 88.895312
2025-04-06 2.425958 3.032008 3.929151 5.515180 8.802901 18.225697 164.646004
2025-04-13 2.279514 2.857997 3.720258 5.261216 8.519729 18.311970 274.978368
2025-04-20 2.221027 2.809973 3.705466 5.357451 9.067529 22.085694 NaN
2025-04-27 2.211051 2.842308 3.836897 5.782975 10.708990 35.944918 NaN
2025-05-04 2.157022 2.803404 3.847451 5.979694 11.912141 57.647906 NaN
2025-05-11 2.094023 2.745965 3.820834 6.097642 13.004311 105.114862 NaN
2025-05-18 2.021677 2.668691 3.751931 6.111594 13.792077 231.769565 NaN
2025-05-25 1.925580 2.547382 3.593718 5.894536 13.569818 349.735685 NaN
2025-06-01 1.857731 2.468511 3.506998 5.835257 14.018153 6333.769143 NaN
2025-06-08 1.772619 2.357024 3.352262 5.590331 13.522227 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.728818 2.311517 3.316869 5.634676 14.451621 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.677474 2.250694 3.247907 5.584149 14.906422 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.619914 2.176812 3.149188 5.443660 14.802742 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.554817 2.087824 3.016881 5.201728 14.021381 NaN NaN